Friday, September 22, 2006


Free Replays for CDSN

While the NTRA might be a bunch of fools, at least some tracks hire smart people. When it comes to fan friendly tracks. Churchill Downs announced today that free replays will be readily available on its website for their tracks. Hollywood is already available over at, but this deal will allow us to get replays for Churchill, Arlington and Calder.

Now CDSN, all you have to do is lower your takeout.
From the CDSN Press Release
Online video replays of our races have long been one of the top requests of our customers," said Jeremy Borseth, senior director of channel services and Internet operations for Churchill Downs, in a press release.

Replay videos will appear online approximately 10 to 15 minutes following the conclusion of a live race. A small "teaser" window on the home page of each Churchill Downs racetrack currently offering live racing will display the videos and offer links to higher-quality video available on a dedicated replay page.

Visitors may watch the most recent race available, scroll through the day's completed races to select another video, or view archival content. Races will be archived through the duration of the meet.

Video replays are currently being offered at for Calder Race Course and at for Hoosier Park, which both have race meets underway. The feature will debut for the remaining Churchill Downs tracks as they cycle back into live racing periods

Thursday, September 21, 2006


World Championships? I think not

Bloodhorse's interview with Barry Irwin reinforced the major problems with the Breeders Cup and this so called World Championships: It's designed to be anything but a world championship. First the quotes:

"Becrux is a no, mostly because I don't like paying supplements and we have no idea how he will handle a sand-based turf course,"

Team Valor's 4-year-old filly Irridescence, last year's South African champion 3-year-old filly who won the Audemars Piquet Queen Elizabeth II Cup (HK-I) earlier this year, is another that is ineligible for the Breeders' Cup World Thoroughbred Championship and is therefore unlikely to run, Irwin said.

"We can run her for more money in the Orient, where she has won, and she not only does not have to be supplemented, but her travel and ours is completely funded by the racing association," he noted.


Basically the best horses right now in the world (with the exception of Berny) are not bred in the US and most likely need to be supplemented (I know Aragorn is already supplemented) and unless you're Coolmore or Godolphin, the numbers don't make sense to supplement. Then as Barry stated, add in expenses and it's really not worth it. So if you don't run in the BC, what's your option? Go to Japan and HK where they run for more money and all expesnes are covered with no supplement fees necessary.

It is unfortunate that the NTRA won't do anything about this situation because in the end, the NTRA is full of fools who are not in touch with the realities of the sport. Their stances on bettings exchanges is uninformed and ignorant (Note to NTRA: I Love Betfair and there's nothing you can do to stop me) and I really think the breeders are their #1 concern. Unlike in HK or England where racing is the primary focus, the breeders have way too much power here and is part of the cause of the downfall of the American Thoroughbred.

Tuesday, September 19, 2006


Add Sixties Icon to Arc Field

I wish there were more trainers like Jeremey Noseda around, he had the guts to send Wilko to the BC Juvie a couple years ago, and now will send the St Leger winner, Sixties Icon, to the Arc after announcing he will be supplemented to the field. Unraced at two, he's from a pedigree that has indicated he'll stay all day with Galileo on top and Diesis as the dam-sire. 7th in the Derby in his 3rd career start, 2nd at Royal Ascot and has won his last two with Frankie Dettori on board, inlcuding that 3 lengths win in the St Leger where he was never asked for top gear. However he'll be another horse like Hurricane Run that will need a strongly run race. The Arc will depend all on if Fabre and the Aga Khan enter rabbits, if not, Rail Link and Shirocco look to be tough, however if there are rabbits, Hurricane Run, Pride and Sixties Icon look tough.

Market as of now on Betfair:
Hurricane Run 3-1
Deep Impact 3-1
Shirocco 7-2
Rail Link 9-1
Sir Percy 15-1
Pride 17-1
Sixities Icon 14-1

Monday, September 18, 2006


Woodbine Mile Replay w/Chicklets

For those who couldn't watch the Mile or haven't seen the Trackus system, this is for you. Per Jen Morrison, Becrux got a 103 beyer which is really weak for this race and considering there isn't much better in terms of milers here in North America, the BC Mile could be an easy sweep for the Euros. (QEII this weekend I think, Liberttist aand George Washington are in I believe)

Sunday, September 17, 2006


Sunday Roundup

Canadian S- When my horse, Almerita broke dead last, I knew Ready's Gal was about 1-20 shot of winning the race. Perfectly ridden by Ramon, RG got a much easier lead then the 47 second half mile split indicated, with the about 9f distance (Woodbine can only run 9f races on turf with the rail in hte 2 lane I believe), I think that half mile split occured at less then 800m. Arravale was never happy racing uncovered and so close to the lead, but did fight on strongly at the end. The 10f EP Taylor might be better suited for her, especially with Irish St Leger winner, Kastoria, opting to skip the EP Taylor for the longer Canadian International.

Summer S- Well I said Dreaming of Anna shouldn't have been 6-1 in the ML and in hindshot, should have been even money, amazing performance, 135 for a two yr old was excellent, only 6 lengths slower then Becrux. The pace was kinda soft, but really, if it went 46.5, would the result have been any different? I highly doubt it.

Woodbine Mile-45 flat? Yikes, I honestly didn't think it would go that fast early, that pretty much did in the early speed like my horse, Ballast, Sweet Return and Remarkable News. And add in that nice long and wide Woodbine stretch, I should have know a closer was going to win. PVal again shows while he might be one of the best riders in American history, honestly, as much as the horse and race setup helped Becrux, I think PVal was worth a couple of lengths and gave this horse the right ride today. Prado was unlucky on Rebel Rebel, considering he's flopped at a tight track like Mth and excelled at gallop/wide tracks like Newmarket, Woodbine and Belmont, I don't think he'll be able to run his best in the BC, and I don't think Dutrow and HK's tough drug policy go together so I don't know what would be best for him next.

Saturday, September 16, 2006


Woodbine Mile Selections

G2 Canadian Stk- Arravale should have all those class bettors out on full force on her, thus will be overbet. Her Del Mar Oaks win wasn't all that good, Beyer used projection to come with that 98 (I gave 85) as 148 is a slow time on that course. Take The Bluff who was dq'ed from 2nd in the Oaks did come back to run 2nd last week in about a 100 rating on my scale so Arravale can go better. But at the short price, do you really want to?

I like the German, Almerita, I always love it when a Euro jock comes over with the Euro horse and Darryl Holland comes over just for this race. She should be on the pace with Ready's Gal and given this small field, it could be a stop-start type race so the deep closers like Arravale and Ambitious Cat will be in trouble. The timeforms come out to 97-100 on the Beyer scale which is competive at the least here and last time against older was up against good older males like Fight Club and Laverock.

G3 Summer Stk- Ignore the 6/1 morning line on Dreaming of Anne, when you have top beyer in the race, you'll never go off that high and if you do, the horse probably has a major issue. However the horse has every chance. This race comes down to the three favs, Marcavelly, Streets Ahead and Dreaming of Anne. IMO, if you can get 5-1 on any horse (mostly likely to be Streets Ahead) go ahead and pull the trigger. Otherwise, just watch the race, the longshots here aren't all that great.

G1 Woodbine Mile- While these horses might not have a shot against Bullish Luck or Liberttist, this is a great field, and a great betting race and most of these would be worthy of the G1 winner tag on their resume. Remarkable News ran a monster race in the Fourstardave and is worthy of that Beyer given, even with that slow 48+ half, he still ran 140 for the 8.5f. He won't get it that easy today, but he is flexible enough for it not to affect him.

However he's not getting my win money, I'm going for the price, Ballast (20-1) is only a length or so slower then RN on my ratings, an improving sort that has been getting better with every race. Kabel, the best turf rider in Canada, comes on and picks up the ride, and whenever he chooses a non-Sam Son horse over a Sam Son horse in a graded race (Shoal Water here), watch out, the horse is usually live, this angle cashed with Sky Conqueror in the Northern Dancer a couple of weeks ago.

Ad Valorem, the Queen Anne winner at Royal Ascot, is the question mark. Now we all know the 'legal', problems Kireon Fallon is in, but why Husbands, no Mick Kinane? no Jaime Spencer? That's a huge negative in my books. He ran up to the Godolphin superstar, Liberttist, in his last and ran evenly that day and last year was actually ahead of David Junior in the Sussex. The horses he defeated in the Queen Anne, Court Masterpiece and Proclimaiton, are also G1 winners. I honestly don't know what to do with him, I guess you can't support him at the short price, but don't ignore in the exotics.

Speaking of the exotics, my strategy is simple, use the ALL key! While the win line only looks to have a few chances, just about every horse in the race can sneak into the tri and super. You'll have to go deep and can't be cheap and box the favs and hope and pray.

Best of luck to all.

Friday, September 15, 2006


A Gamble on Yeats for the Cup

Aussie bookmakers have now put Euro stayer Yeats, from the Aidan O Brien barn, favourite for this year's Melbourne Cup. With the great Makybe Diva now retired, the Cup is a wideopen affair this year and the Europeans have been hammering Yeats with the Aussie bookies over the last week. He has come down from15-1 to about 6-1. Winner of this year's Ascot Gold Cup, Yeats is the 4/9 fav for tomorrow's Irish Gold Cup.

There have been some famous Aussie ante-post gambles that have come through in the last couple of years (supposedly there was a person who successful bet $1 Mil on Lonhro in his final couple of wins), the British on the other hand is more hit and miss. This year, an unraced 3yr old full bro to Islington trained by Sir Michael Stoute saw a big move all of a sudden and I still don't think he's won a race yet and usually the winner of the Cheltenham Gold Cup or Grand National is immediately put as a 2-1 fav to repeat and there are always many takers for this stupid bet.

Here's the link to the full story and make sure to check our SportingLife or RacingPost tomorrow night to see if Yeats at least won the Irish Gold Cup and a plane ticket to Australia.

Saturday Edit-Well Yeats went off as the 2/7 fav and....lost! Kastoria, the filly ridden by Mick Kinane got up in the final yards to take out the big fav. I wonder what those bettors who have plunged on Yeats for the Cup are thinking about right now.

Tuesday, September 12, 2006


GPS Tracking Coming to Woodbine

Trakus, a Boston based company, is bring horse race tracking to Woodbine starting tomorrow, they promise to be able to provide accurate position of all horses in the race using a chip in the saddlecloth, similar to Turftrax in England and Stride in HK.

Some quotes from the press release from Woodbine and SC:
"Improved television coverage is the immediate benefit for customers, but soon visitors to Woodbine's website will be able watch virtual reenactments of the races, putting them in saddle of the winning horse or anywhere else on the track."

"The data collected on each horse can be used instantly for television displays or archived to the Web or print for later use by handicappers."

"The new simulcasting signal will have the live race video in one split-screen, and the digitally-created image of the field in the second."

See this link for a example.


Weekend Roundup + Woodbine Mile early Field

Okay, lets do a wrap up from Belmont this past weekend:

Garden City-Magnificent Song 103 - As you might have been reading, I guess the Belmont turf course has had troubles absorbing the large amounts of rain the course saw just before las weekend, and eventhough the course was labelled good, it played much more softer. At first glance at the time, I thought it was average, but after the variant adjustment, it's actually really good. And if Gomez started a little earlier on MS, she probably could have won by another length or two. 36 second final fraction, and this horse is still a young, she has some devolping to go I think. Could be one to watch next year.
BTW Anyone notice the breeder of MS? ClassicStar...kinda ironic giving their frontpage headlines yesterday eh?

Man O War- Cacique 106 - Even with the variant adjustment, the pace of this race was slow, the 12f horses like Go Deputy and Relaxed Gesture got screwed, the 10f Cacique had an easy G1 at the taking and he took full advantage of it. In the post race comments, you can already see Frankel not wanting to commit to the BC Turf for Cacique, a very smart move, at an honest 12f, Cacique would run up the track. And I would give Go Deputy another shot at this level.

Gazelle- Pine Island 97 & Ruffian- Pool Land 104 : I combined these as both have BC Distaff implications. For Pine Island, I gave 100 for her Alabama win so a slight regression for her. Pool Land was really impressive, with the small field in the Ruffian, Take D Tour was a surprisingly quick early pace and Pool Land still came home strong and looked good doing it. Now think of the BC Distaff, Teammate and Take D Tour freewheeling out front early, Pool Land just behind them and Pine Island charging out of the clouds late. Really going to be a much better race then it looked like a couple of months ago.

Now as for this weekend's big race, here's an early look at the field for the G1 Woodbine Mile this Sunday. Off the top of my head, I gave Remarkable News a 106 for his Fourstardave win, Becrux got a 95 last time out, the rest I have to look up.


Woodbine Mile
Purse: $1 million; 1 mile, turf; Grade 1

Ad Valorem A. O'Brien P. Husbands
Awesome Action S. Leslie No rider
Ballast G. Motion T. Kabel
Becrux N. Drysdale C. Nakatani
Captain Kurt M. Conlon E. Wilson
Dalavin A. Cappuccitti C. Montpellier
Diamond Green R. Frankel No rider
Rebel Rebel R. Dutrow E. Prado
Remarkable News A. Penna Jr. J. Castellano
Shoal Water M. Frostad R. Landry
Sweet Return R. McAnally K. Desormeaux
Therecomesatiger T. Proctor M. Guidry
Three Valleys R. Frankel R. Dominguez
Vanderlin A. Balding R. Hughes

Sunday, September 10, 2006


Shirocco defeats Hurricane Run in Arc Prep

Another blanket photo in France and this time it was Shirocco just getting the nod over Hurricane Run with Pride not far back. Shirocco was allowed to set a slow pace early and sprinted away for the win. Hurricane Run needs an honest pace, he doesn't have push button speed, all his losses have been when the pace went against him (this year today and in his 06 debut against Pride and last year in the French Derby where Frankie stole the race also from the front). The large Arc field usually ensure a good pace so maybe Fallon is right and might be able to turn the tables on Shirocco.

Then add the fact Japanese superstar Deep Impact will be in the field, it's going to be a great Arc again this year.

Story at RacingPost

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